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飞行汽车未来20年内将达到1.5万亿美元井喷式增长?

发表时间:2018-12-17 11:30:37    作者:飞行汽车    点击:

据外媒报道,经济学家日前发表预计称,飞行汽车的市场价值在短短20年内将达到1.5万亿美元。摩根士丹利的研究报告指出,随着技术和资本投入状况的改善,自动飞行汽车市场在未来20年将迎来井喷式增长。

据称,自动飞行汽车市场未来“大玩家”的头衔或将落在波音及其子公司极光飞行科技公司的头上,波音方面最早将在明年初发布飞行汽车原型车。空中客车公司也涉足了两家空中的士合资企业。有观点指出,空中客车通过此举也拿下了部分市场份额。摩根士丹利研究小组高级分析师亚当·乔纳斯在接受记者采访时表示:“我们预见到城市空中出行生态系统将经历一个非常长期的发展过程,因为在短期内该生态系统在资金、测试和开发方面需要大规模的投入。但城市空中出行的前景正变得越来越清晰可见。”

摩根士丹利还在报告中指出,洛克希德马丁公司将投资研发eVTOL自动驾驶飞行器,相信诺斯罗普格鲁曼公司有可能参与其中,而美国雷神公司和哈里斯公司也已经将空中交通控制技术作为发展目标。摩根士丹利还表示,亚马逊公司将会投资推动飞行汽车技术的发展,因为它可以借助该技术用来大幅削减物流成本。还有专家称,利用飞行汽车,亚马逊公司可以有效解决向偏远地区以及高拥堵城市地区及时送货的问题。

英文版

English version
According to foreign media reports, economists have recently published a forecast that the market value of flying cars will reach $1.5 trillion in just 20 years. Morgan Stanley's research report points out that with the improvement of technology and capital investment, the AV market will witness blowout growth in the next 20 years.


It is said that the future title of "big player" in the AVM market will fall on the head of Boeing and its subsidiary Aurora Flight Technologies. Boeing will release the prototype of AVM as early as early as next year. Airbus is also involved in two air taxi joint ventures. It is pointed out that Airbus has also gained part of the market share through this move. Adam Jonas, senior analyst at Morgan Stanley Research Group, said in an interview with reporters: "We anticipate that the urban air travel ecosystem will undergo a very long-term development process, because in the short term the ecosystem will require large-scale investment in funding, testing and development. But the outlook for urban air travel is becoming clearer and clearer.


Morgan Stanley also pointed out in the report that Lockheed Martin will invest in the development of eVTOL automatic pilot aircraft, believing Northrop Grumman may be involved, and Raytheon and Harris have also made air traffic control technology as development goals. Morgan Stanley also said Amazon would invest in driving the development of flying car technology, which it could use to cut logistics costs substantially. Other experts say that with flying cars, Amazon can effectively solve the problem of timely delivery to remote areas and high congestion urban areas.

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