无人驾驶汽车从前几年到现在热度一直未减，许多头部玩家已经率先进入驾驶测试阶段。看似只要过了测试这道坎，不久之后将会迎来无人驾驶的时代。

但奈何理想很丰满，现实太骨感。据外媒报道，今年3月份，美国网约车巨头Uber在美国亚利桑那州Tempe市进行无人驾驶测试时撞死了一名行人，这是史上首例无人驾驶车辆在公开路面撞伤行人致死的事故。无独有偶，5月份，谷歌旗下无人驾驶部门Waymo的一辆在公开路面进行测试的车辆也陷入一起严重交通事故，车身损毁严重。事故的发生，使得无人驾驶汽车安全问题一度被推上风口浪尖，相关测试也一度被迫中止，令许多后来者望而生畏，并开始冷静下来，无人驾驶汽车何时能够安全上路至今也没有定数。然而，这方，众多玩家在尚未能真正搞定无人驾驶汽车带来的问题的情况下，那方，却已经又将目光瞄向了飞行汽车，希望能够抢先占领这一全新的市场。

据悉，保时捷和皮耶希家族控股公司认为，飞行汽车到2025年将成为一种常规交通工具，将采用电力驱动，具备无人驾驶能力。到2035年，飞行汽车的市场规模可能将达到320亿美元。如此看来，飞行汽车这块尚待开发的蓝海有着足够的诱惑力吸引着众多汽车界大佬入局。据了解，造成史上首例无人驾驶汽车撞伤行人致死事故的Uber在此前早已有制造飞行汽车的计划。去年4月，在美国达拉斯举行的Uber Elevate峰会上，Uber公司宣布其eVTOL空中出租车计划于2020年开始测试运营，并在2023年正式进入市场。

今年8月，Uber确认加入了日本的飞行汽车项目，另外，以实用化为目标的空中出租车“uberAIR”的测试飞行候选地将在半年内从日本、印度、澳大利亚、巴西和法国这5个国家中选出。能引得Uber如此大动干戈，看来Uber是誓要在飞行汽车上大有一番作为了。只不过此前Uber造成的无人驾驶事故，已经使Uber的研发技术被消费者打上了“不靠谱”的烙印，而Uber却还要造比无人驾驶还要有挑战性的飞行汽车，其安全性恐怕更不足以取得消费者的信任。

此外，去年11月，国产汽车公司吉利集团与美国Terrafugia公司达成最终协议，收购了美国这家最大飞行汽车公司Terrafugia的全部业务和资产。今年9月9日，吉利集团Terrafugia飞行汽车总监廖运武告诉记者，按照目前的生产周期，Terrafugia飞行汽车暂定10月开始预订，计划将在明年开始量产，Terrafugia飞行汽车第一代产品初步计划在美国上市。其实，Terrafugia未被吉利收购前，在2013年时就试飞过了旗下首款飞行汽车——Transition，并计划在2016年投产，但由于法律法规政策限制以及基础设施不完善等各种原因，这款车并未能量产。而此次即使在有了吉利的资本加持之后，若基础设施及法律法规等市场环境问题依然得不到解决，那么Terrafugia飞行汽车的量产估计会再一次打水漂。

再者，比起Uber和吉利，丰田的飞行汽车计划更像是在打酱油。早在2014的时候，丰田申请飞行汽车的一项专利被曝光了，只不过后面丰田因专注于研发无人驾驶方面的技术，飞行汽车就只能靠工程师在业余的时候进行研发。丰田希望研发的飞行汽车能够在2020年举行的东京奥运会上首次亮相并在奥林匹克体育场点燃圣火，还计划在2025年的时候推出飞行汽车的量产版车型。不知看起来“不专业”的丰田飞行汽车能不能配得上它如此丰满的理想，相比于丰田飞行汽车的业余研发，要知道其他玩家可是花了更长的时间来专攻飞行汽车的研发。

不管怎样，飞行汽车的高门槛以及人们的不看好，依然阻挡不了这些玩家对飞行汽车的热衷追逐，玩家们的勇气着实可嘉。只不过目前人们要想实现对飞行汽车的猜想没那么容易。

英文版

English version
Driverless cars have remained hot for several years, and many head players have taken the lead in driving test. It seems that as long as we pass the test barrier, we will soon usher in the era of driverless driving.
But the ideal is very full, the reality is too skeletal. According to foreign media reports, in March this year, U.S. online dating giant Uber killed a pedestrian during an unmanned driving test in Tempe, Arizona, the first time in history that an unmanned vehicle hit a pedestrian on an open road. Coincidentally, in May, a vehicle tested on public roads by Waymo, Google's driverless division, was caught in a serious traffic accident and its body was badly damaged. As a result of the accident, the safety problem of driverless vehicles was once pushed to the top of the storm, and related tests were once forced to stop, which made many later generations afraid and began to calm down. So far, when driverless cars can safely go on the road is still uncertain. However, many players in this area have not yet been able to really solve the problems caused by driverless cars, but the other side has also focused on flying cars, hoping to seize this new market first.
It is reported that Porsche and Piersch family holding companies believe that flying cars will become a conventional means of transportation by 2025, which will be powered by electricity and have the ability to drive unmanned vehicles. By 2035, the market for flying cars could reach $32 billion. So it seems that the blue sea of flying cars, which has yet to be developed, has enough attraction to attract many automotive industry leaders. It is understood that Uber, who caused the first fatal pedestrian accident in history, had plans to build flying cars before. Last April, at the Uber Elevate Summit in Dallas, USA, Uber announced its eVTOL air taxi plan to start testing operations in 2020 and enter the market in 2023.

In August, Uber confirmed its participation in Japan's Flying Vehicle Project. In addition, the test flight candidate of UerAIR, a practical air taxi, will be selected from five countries, namely Japan, India, Australia, Brazil and France, within six months. It seems that Uber has vowed to make a big difference in flying cars. However, the previous driverless accidents caused by Uber have branded Uber's R&D technology as "unreliable" by consumers, while Uber has to build more challenging flying cars than driverless ones, and its safety may not be enough to win the trust of consumers.
In addition, in November last year, Geely Group, a domestic car company, reached a final agreement with Terrafugia Inc. to acquire all the business and assets of Terrafugia, the largest flying car company in the United States. On September 9 this year, Liao Yunwu, director of Terrafugia Flying Vehicle, Geely Group, told reporters that according to the current production cycle, Terrafugia Flying Vehicle is tentatively scheduled to start booking in October. It is planned to start mass production next year. Terrafugia Flying Vehicle's first generation products are initially planned to be launched in the United States. In fact, before Geely's acquisition, Terrafugia flew its first flying car, Transition, in 2013 and planned to go into production in 2016. However, due to various reasons, such as laws, regulations, policies and imperfect infrastructure, Terrafugia did not produce energy. This time, even after Geely's capital support, if market environment problems such as infrastructure and laws and regulations remain unresolved, the production of Terrafugia flying cars is expected to drift again.

Moreover, compared with Uber and Geely, Toyota's flying car program is more like playing soy sauce. As early as 2014, Toyota's application for a patent for flying cars was exposed, but later Toyota focused on the development of driverless technology, flying cars can only be developed by engineers in their spare time. Toyota hopes to develop a flying car that will make its debut at the Tokyo Olympics in 2020 and light the torch at the Olympic Stadium. It also plans to launch a mass-produced version of the flying car in 2025. I wonder if the seemingly "unprofessional" Toyota Flying Vehicle can match its ideal of such fullness. Compared with the amateur development of Toyota Flying Vehicle, it takes other players longer to specialize in the development of Flying Vehicle.
Nevertheless, the high threshold of flying cars and people's disdain still can not prevent these players from pursuing flying cars enthusiastically. Players'courage is commendable. But it's not so easy to guess about flying cars at the moment.

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